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2024-12-14 10:02:52

Market News: U.S. Congressman Nancy Mays was attacked in the Capitol because of the transgender bill.Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.


When the Fed became cautious about cutting interest rates, the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, and the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, which was in line with economists' expectations and higher than the level of 2.6% in October. The data highlights people's concerns about sticky inflation after inflation rose in October. It is widely expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in a row next week, but the pace of interest rate cuts next year is uncertain, because the Fed is striving to achieve the dual mission of keeping the inflation rate close to 2% and maintaining a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level, that is, high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market, officials have discussed slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts. They say that if we act too fast, inflation may stay above the 2% target, but if we act too slowly, the unemployment rate may rise sharply.Russian central bank survey: the average key interest rate in 2024 is expected to be 17.5%, compared with the previous forecast of 17.3%. The average key interest rate in 2025 is expected to be 21.3%, compared with the previous forecast of 18%.Report: In 2024, the revenue of e-sports industry in China exceeded 27.5 billion yuan. According to the 2024 China E-sports Industry Report released on the 11th, the number of e-sports users in China reached 490 million in 2024, up by 0.42% year-on-year. The actual sales revenue of e-sports industry has reached 27.568 billion yuan, up 4.62% year-on-year.


ExxonMobil Oil: US President-elect Trump will bring good prospects to the US oil and gas industry. Support US President-elect Trump to repair the "broken" licensing system in the US energy field.Lilly will study whether diet pills can effectively control addictive behaviors. Dave Ricks, CEO of Lilly, said that the company will start to study whether its best-selling diet pills can also effectively control addictive behaviors such as alcoholism, smoking and drug abuse. Ricks said at a meeting that these drugs are "anti-hedonic" and may temporarily make patients get rid of drug dependence. Some doctors have said that this drug can help alleviate drug addiction. Novo Nordisk also said earlier this year that it planned to conduct research on drug addiction.After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.

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